TRADING QB Carson Wentz officially ends the media drama that has surrounded the team since his benching in Green Bay on December 6th. As of now, all of the focus is on HC Nick Sirianni and QBJalen Hurts. How do they power the Eagles to win the NFC East and championships? Oh, and how long will we suck?
Don’t lie to yourself about “re-arming” or “re-stocking” or “re-loading”. The Eagles are re-building. The team that told us in February of 2018, that deep runs into the playoffs would be the norm, has been officially tossed onto the scrap heap. Gone is the coach who led us in ultra ballsy fashion. Gone is the upstart triggerman, and the wily gunslinger who stepped in for him.
For God’s sake, please stop talking about that Super Bowl, and the almost MVP season. All the important vestiges of that era have been striped away. 2017 is gone. It is dead. General Manager Howie Roseman clubbed that baby seal to death.
This is 2021, and this rebuild means that for Eagles fans, it may as well be 1999 all over again. In 1999 when Andy Reid first got here, he’d never been an NFL head coach, nor an offensive coordinator. During the interview, Reid blew Eagles owner Jeff Lurie away with how meticulous his plans were for rebuilding Eagles entirely. Lurie hired Reid to resuscitate a team that had just lost 13 games, and a legend was born.
Fast forward to 2021 and playing the part of Andrew Walter Reid, is one Nick Sirianni. (Gemini.) Also never been a head coach. Also never called an NFL game. Lurie however, loves that “he cares”. I’m not kidding. It’s the first thing Lurie mentioned when asked about why he hired Sirianni. So Sirianni is on the hook to be the next Andy Reid and revive this team based on uhhh, him caring? So okay, he cares. Did the other candidates not?
Having stepped barefoot into this warm pile of rebuild, the first thing that comes up, is that the Eagles are reportedly not anointing Hurts the starter. Instead, they intend to bring in competition for him. Or at least that’s the rumor that ESPN is reporting. Until there is a source next to a statement, me representing it as more than a rumor, would be irresponsible.
But trust and believe, we will discuss it in THE 12 tomorrow!
The second thing that crosses my mind is: Who are we losing? Rebuilds mean blood on the floor. Usually the blood of formerly sacred cows. I’m thinking names like C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox, DE Brandon Graham, TE Zach Ertz, G Brandon Brooks, and FS Rodney McLeod. Those six players represent a cap figure of 82.3M$. Six guys, 82 mill.
For a team that is projected to be 50M$ over the cap, 82.3M in cuts would clear out a lot of space. Quick, fast, and in a hurry! It would devastate the team, of course. Especially given the combined and individual leadership of the guys on that list. However, if it’s a rebuild, then fans already expect the team to suck. The only question is now: How long will the sucking last?
WE have a hole at starting SS. We have a hole at starting MLB. We have a hole at starting OLB. We have a hole at starting CB. We signed a career back-up SS. We signed a career back-up Nickel LB. It’s still early in the offseason, but still, it would be great to not have so many exposed holes.
Look I get it. We can find quality free agents after the Draft. We did it before, with players like RB LeGarrette Blount, This makes Eagles brass feel good about being late shoppers. But I want to show you something. Look at the 2017 signing dates of the free agents we brought in that year:
To quote the poet, Bubba Sparks: “How else can I say it? I don’t speak no other languages?”
That chart is as clear as you can make a thing. If you want an impact player, you generally have to get him before the draft. That’s just common NFL knowledge. It’s also basic economics. The law of supply and demand. The demand for impact players is high, and so the supply of them will quickly run out.
This leaves us hoping for huge contributions from our rookies. Because we’ve been great at developing those, right? Look, we don’t have to sign a ton of expensive veterans, but a couple of pivotal ones? To fill important holes?
Put another way, at certain positions we’re just standing and watching everyone else buy up all the Charmin. Maybe GM Howie Rosemanfeels really good about those boxes of dot matrix paper he just bought, but a quick look at the situation, says that our holes are in for some rough times ahead.
For all the gas the Eagles talk about being a “win now” team, and wanting to “be competitive every year”, they certainly have all the ear-marks of being about to take a year off. This feels like an outright re-build.
WHENHowie Rosemanis screwing up, we let him know about it, and rightfully so. As fans that’s part of what we’re required to do to keep up our end. There is however, another part that we aren’t so good at. When Howie gets it right, we tend to be damned quiet about giving the man his due credit. As of today, that has to change, and by the time you finish this article, you’ll want to make sure it does.
This franchise is trying to get back to where it was from 2000 to 2008. Back then, we were amongst the powerhouse teams in the NFL. We were part of every serious conversation about who would win it all during those years. Now, after almost a decade as a fringe team, the Eagles Front Office has decided to bite the bullet and do what I’ve been screaming for since I was still writing on YardBarker, back in 2009. Whatever they choose call it, or however they want to brand it, the Eagles are rebuilding.
The last time the Eagles rebuilt it was done without fan input. Remember when so many people wanted RB Ricky Williams but the Eagles instead drafted QB Donovan McNabb? Remember how fans reacted? Today McNabb is the greatest QB in franchise history, and many local (let me stress the word local) fans still shrug over it. This is why the F.O. ignores us. If all we can or will do is complain, they have every reason to tune us out.
On the other hand, we screamed and screamed for them to get McNabb a WR while they flat out ignored us. When they finally did get McNabb that WR, what happened? We went to the Super Bowl that same year, and McNabb had the best year of his entire career. No other season even comes close. Eagles fans are frequently called by announcers “the most knowledgeable fan base in the league”. Maybe F.O. would be wise to listen to us here and there. Conversely, maybe we should focus on saying something worth hearing.
When Roseman gets it wrong we need to be vocal, but we need to be equally as vocal when he gets it right. It would represent a change in fan type that the F.O. would have to look into. Even if only (at first) to better understand how to adjust their marketing strategies.
So how do we do it? Get on WIP just as you always have, but find something to also praise, when you issue your next complaint about Roseman or Owner Jeffery Lurie. Mention a guy who’s jersey you wouldn’t mind seeing on your kids. Talk about why you don’t want certain types of players on this team. Go to the Eagles Message Boards (that I’m still banned from), and do these same things.
Elevate the discussion so that it literally pays for them to listen to you, and make it cost them to ignore you. Make it clear that ignoring you has a negative impact. If not on the roster, then at the very least on the team’s bottom line.
Fellow fan, you can help this rebuild. You can be a part of steering the Eagles. Yes you can. But to do that, something has to change, and it has to, starting today.
SLIGHTLY retooling the Eagles won’t get us out of the basement. We need a CB, a bell-cow RB, a 1# WR, and an OLB. Those are just the Starters we need. We need depth at QB, C, OT, DT, MLB, FS, and CB. Not to mention eyeing possible replacements for our aging LS and P. I also said earlier this year, that while our K’s accuracy is good, his ability to hit from distance in cold weather playoff games, is a serious concern once we qualify.
Every year the Eagles tell you that everything is on the table. This year that’s more true than most. Generally you can forecast 18-20 of next season’s 22 Starters, but this year, the list of sacred cows is much shorter than normal and it looks like this:
QB – Carson Wentz
RG – Brandon Brooks
OT – Lane Johnson
TE – Zach Ertz
DT – Fletcher Cox
LB – Jordan Hicks
LB – Nigel Bradham
SS – Malcolm Jenkins
FS – Rodney McLeod
Lots of “if” surrounding the rest of those starting spots isn’t there? You probably didn’t realize that until you just went through it in your head. Freaky right? You can include DE Vinny Curryas a guaranteed Starter if you like, but that would only be due to the remaining guaranteed money (20M) on his contract and the 9M$ cap hit he represents this year.
Our team is trapped against the salary cap, due to paying large bank on contracts to players from another coaching regime. Those same players, under two different head coaches, produced back-to-back 7-9 seasons. Everything about that situation screams “rebuild”. Anyone telling you different, thinks you’re a moron. You’re here reading this, so it’s clear to me that you can’t be one.
This is a rebuild. Only instead of the typical purge and Free Agent spending spree, the Eagles are going back to the 1999 formula where we held onto veterans and gradually replaced them through the Draft. This is Doug Pederson following Andy Reid again, and trust me, I have absolutely no problems with that. I never understood why we got away from it, to begin with. Drafting in waves is a more stable approach. It allows veteran players to help train their replacements, instead of having a bunch of people shrugging at each other, since too many people would be new. It also allows you carry forth a culture.
Winning a Super Bowl can’t even be discussed when you aren’t good enough to even make the playoffs. Two straight 7-9 seasons where we failed to make the playoffs suggest that we need more than a retool. That’s why the Eagles are in rebuild mode. Anyone telling you different is also telling you (in the same breath), why you shouldn’t listen to them.
ASIDE from QB Carson Wentz, 2016’s Draft was a disaster. We took eight players in last year’s Draft, and aside from Wentz, not one of them is good enough to be a Starter in 2017. That being said, we should go easy on that draft. We didn’t have an idea of who we were going to be as a team yet. There was no way of predicting what character would emerge from the new culture brought in by rookie Head Coach Doug Pederson.
Sixteen games later, we now have an idea of who we are, and of who we’re trying to be. So in the 2017 Draft, we need to add players who can enhance our strengths, and minimize (if not completely eliminate) our shortcomings.
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PARABLE: A man needed milk for his cereal and a loaf of bread. Having only 6$ on him, he figured he could cover both, so he went to the market. At the market he got a loaf of bread costing him 3.69, but there was no milk to be had. No pints, quarts, half or whole gallons. There wasn’t even cream or half and half. When the man asked the merchant why there was no milk, the merchant said that no milk had been delivered that week. The merchant suggested the man buy liquid coffee creamer instead. The man pointed out that even a small coffee creamer (being 2.39), was nearly 1$ more than a quart of milk. The merchant agreed. The man thinking in that moment only of his cereal, put back the bread and bought the creamer.
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The Eagles have several big needs, the biggest one being a CB. However, given our first Draft spot, the CB we really need, won’t be there this year. It doesn’t matter how high of a pick we spend on a substitute CB. Spending extra on what you don’t need (coffee creamer), won’t turn it into what you need it to be (milk). Especially when it will cost you something else you need in the process (bread).
Put in terms of Draft prospects: Picking [Tre’Davious White] at #14 won’t turn him into won’t turn him into [Marshon Lattimer], and will only cost us a shot a the WR we need. Let’s address our CB need by overspending on a one-year FA, and gamble on a CB on Day Two.
(Keep in mind this is coming out BEFORE the Combine. Nothing here is set in stone)
1)(14 or 15 overall) WR [Corey Davis] should still be on the board when we pick, and that’s perfect. He has the requisite size and speed to force opponents take him seriously on the boundary. He’s also a decent blocker in the run game, and is already accustomed to being an Alpha WR. He expects that role, wants that role, and has lived up to that role at the collegiate level.
Wentz needs a true #1 to help him develop and reach his potential. Watching Wentz with his WR’s this year was like the days of Donovan McNabb being stuck with Todd Pinkston and James Thrash. If we want better from Wentz, he has to be given better tools. Start with Davis.
2)(42 overall) We need a Starting RB. Not a committee. Not a Free Agent re-tread with injury issues. We need a real bell-cow, who will scare teams into loading the box. [D’Onta Foreman] seems like he could be that guy.
I have my doubts about him being on the board at #42. If he’s there, take him. If Foreman is already gone, reach on a CB and grab RB [James Connor] in the Third.
3) (75 overall) If he’s there I take CB [Channing Stribling] before 5 seconds are off the clock. We still have yet to see if he “makes any money” at the Combine, but right now he’s still kind of below the radar.
Former Eagle Mike Zordich was his Secondary Coach at Michigan and you can see some of that lunch-pail mentality come out of this skinny (6’2”, 175) CB. He’s one of the few CB’s in this Draft who commits vs the run. At #42 he’d be called a reach today, but at #75…given a few years, he’d likely be called a steal.
4A) (119 overall) Normally I don’t include highlight reels, but I felt I had to here.
Despite the fact that teams frequently doubled DE [Tanoh Kpassagnon] (Tan-No Passon-Yo) they still ran many plays away from his side during many of those doubles. (If you want to see how that looks during a game, I have game film for you here. Be patient, it’s not exciting.)
The idea of a guy you have to double on the outside, as well as having to double DT Fletcher Coxon the inside, could mean incredible things for our Defensive Line. So far nobody is talking much about this guy, and so he could be the absolute steal of the Draft. Grabbing him this early is just a bit of a reach, but I wouldn’t bank on this guy being around in the Fifth Round.
4B) (139 overall) FS [Obi Melifonwu] is a guy who I expect to hear a lot about in the next few weeks. His measurables are of course the first thing you notice about him (6’3” 217).
Upon looking at the tape, you notice that when he’s not lining up in the parking lot or near the line, you see a guy who has a knack for squeezing passing lanes, and can reliably finish his tackles one-on-one.
5) (154 overall) As I said before, we need RB help. While taking a bell-cow early would an extremely smart thing to do, it would also help to plan for the day when RB Darren Sproles isn’t here anymore. I like RB [De’Angelo Henderson].
He doesn’t have any recent video out there, but it’s hard not to see flashes of Brian Westbrook in his game.
6) (197 overall) RT [Sam Tevi]. He’s new to the position but shows potential not just athletically, but in how he attacks his assignments.
Doesn’t play to the whistle, but then no one on his college O-line seemed to. Makes you wonder if this is something that can be corrected with a change of atmosphere. Especially since Tevi is still so raw. If not, then he’s no better than a career back-up. In any case he’s already better than the OT we drafted last year.
7)(232 overall) This is the pick that I like to use on project players, or long-shot steal prospects. Some would say wait until after the draft for those picks, and they are entitled to their opinions. This however is MY Wish List, so here’s the guy I’d pick: C [Erik Austell]. At only 260 pounds, he probably won’t be able to add the 20-25 pounds needed to be a 16 game NFL starter. What he could be is an ace H-Back, and core Special Teamer. If he could be taught to long snap, he could be worth his weight in gold.
There were other players I liked such as CB’s Marshon Lattimore and [Teez Tabor]; WR’s [Noah Brown] and [Jalen Robinette]; RB’s [De’veon Smith] and [Shock Linwood]; OT [Will Holden]; and TE [Adam Shaheen]. I wouldn’t be sad to see any of them in midnight green. However, due to where we draft, what we need, and who would realistically still be on the board when we picked later, hard choices had to be made.
I scrambled for WEEKS (on a busted computer) to get this done before Combine news started to come out. Corey Davis, Tanoh Kpassangon, De’Veon Smith and D’Onta Foreman were the guys in my head when I started this. Compiling the rest of this list was like pulling my own teeth. The truth is, this is a very weak Draft and it was hard to find players that I liked. There were a couple of pleasant surprises, but MAN, I hope next year is deeper and has a top-tier CB for us.
TRADING OT Dennis Kelly for Titan WR Dorial Green-Beckham, was no big deal by itself. Trading QB Sam Bradford to the Vikings for a 1st round pick and conditional pick (likely a 4th, possibly a 3rd), seemed like an opportunity we couldn’t pass up. It was a big deal; but it was also seen as just getting getting maximum value for a player. No one was talking “conspiracy”. Even I couldn’t see the big picture yet.
Then came the moment when I couldn’t be fooled anymore. It was the moment when the Eagles expressed interest in either 49er WR Torrey Smith or Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey.
Their interest was no big deal. There were a few teams kicking the tires on those WR’s and the general perception is that we need help at that position. Being interested only made sense, right? Due diligence and whatnot, right? But then we-
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Let me slow down for moment. This is that moment where it felt like you were doing only 35 mph, but then you glanced down, and saw that you were actually pushing 60. So I’m gonna slow down and do this in pieces.
Normally someone would walk you through all the “How” first and finish with the “Why”. Not me. I’m starting at “Why” so that by the time I get to “How” you’ll already be on board, and you’ll see those moves as natural parts of that process.
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First the broad strokes: The Front Office is trying to sabotage this season without you (The Fan), realizing that it’s happening.
WHY:
Last night during the Eagles/Cowboys game the commentators said something in passing that stuck in my ear like an ice pick. One of them mentioned that these two fan bases do not tolerate the term “rebuilding”. With both teams being on the Top 10 most expensive ticket list, I think it’s more that the ownerships, or in this case our ownership, is afraid of what the “R” word would do to ticket sales. So any smart owner has to operate on the Q.T. and make a good looking effort, all the while sandbagging the team to slow their progress, to later be in a better position to rebuild.
What do I mean by better position? What I mean is, picking earlier in any round is better than picking later in any round. If we don’t do well, our pick position improves. In every round. Instead of monster trades to move up, or tanking on purpose (like the Sixers did), which the fans hate, it’s much easier to merely sandbag the team to make it difficult to do well.
HOW:
Examples of sandbagging would be
1) Adding a WR during training camp that you can’t place at #4 on your depth chart. The primary reason you can’t bench him is because you yourself (coaching staff, F.O.) talked up his talent, while fans were already unhappy with the guys we had. This is while knowing that his less than stellar work ethic would make learning the Offense take him longer than most.
2) Trade away the starting QB who by all accounts, was looking better than anyone expected him to, during preseason.
3) Instead of starting the experienced back-up QB, you start the rookie who only played in part of one preseason game, and didn’t look very good doing so.
4) That same rookie QB, who grew up idolizing Brett Favre, and who you lauded for his deep ball when you drafted him #2 overall, you put handcuffs on him and have him throwing Screens, Crosses, and Wheels.
5) Then you threaten to bring in another WR who would have to learn the Offense from the ground up at mid-season. This part hasn’t happened. (So far)
6) Now there’s talk of making a 33 year old change-of-pace RB, our primary RB, when he has NEVER been a primary back in his 12 year career. His all-time high number of carries in a season was 93. Back in 2009. He has never started more than 6 games in any season, and he only did that once. In 2012.
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Not ONE of these changes points to helping the Offense to be more productive. In fact, EACH of these changes point to slowing down it’s development.
The whole idea is to make it look good to YOU, while we slowly lose ground. It’s a more ethical version of what the Sixers did, as long as you don’t realize it’s going on. And so far it seems to be working.
I’ve only noticed a handful of fans who seem confused by what’s happening. Most are still happy we started 3-0.
It’s been the rare fan that voices a concern for why we placed the season on Carson Wentz‘s shoulders, without running the ball a lot more to alleviate the pressure on him.
Not many fans have asked “If we were going to trade for a WR, why didn’t we trade for one that was already a good one?”
I don’t hear a lot of “What happens when 33 year old RB Darren Sproles wears down sharply in the next three or so weeks? How do we replace the team’s second leading receiver if he gets hurt or wears down due to overuse? Won’t that leave our rookie QB without his security blanket?”
None of this can be spun as a positive, but none of needs to be spun if YOU don’t notice it in the first place. Then again why would you notice it? What reputable journalist would write about something like this, and risk his behind the scenes access?
That’s where I come in. I’m not a journalist, I’m a fan. Like you. My job is to stick up for you, and represent you. My job is to speak the truth to you, that others lack the courage or motivation to bring you. Unlike journalists, I don’t work for the Eagles. I work you. I work for me. I work for US. I work for the Fans.
Earlier this year, even I couldn’t see the big picture yet. Then came the moment when I couldn’t be fooled anymore. And as of this moment, now YOU can’t be fooled anymore either.
NOTE: Lots of people won’t agree with, and some will even hotly argue with what was said here. I have no problem with that, and in fact (as always) I even welcome it. I am however, a ruthlessly patient man, and I also have no problem waiting to (yet again), be proven right.
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